#601

gyrofry posted:
are you suggesting impper is dead



if only

#602
if impper was dead we would have to resurrect him
#603
more from Mirowski btw

#604
america did keynesianism better than uk ever did imo, remember keynes was by no means a social progressive and us nationalised funding for military projects (which usually became privatised consumer products) is a far truer realisation of keynes' ideas (i.e. strengthening both the state and private property - conservatism) than the labour-dominated uk government which used keynes to deflect charges of irresponsibility in undertaking such ambitious welfare programs (i.e. to convince the upper classes that taking away their money would ultimately make them wealthier, though it must be said that the english upper classes are world renowned for their credulousness)
#605

cleanhands posted:



i dread to wonder who the Atlantic thinks is the greatest living novelist

#606
the rumours of my deathj are probably not exaggerated in the least
#607

Ironicwarcriminal posted:

cleanhands posted:

i dread to wonder who the Atlantic thinks is the greatest living novelist

turns out its me, which at first i thought was weird because i havent wrote any novels, then figured at least its consistent

#608

cleanhands posted:
america did keynesianism better than uk ever did imo, remember keynes was by no means a social progressive and us nationalised funding for military projects (which usually became privatised consumer products) is a far truer realisation of keynes' ideas (i.e. strengthening both the state and private property - conservatism) than the labour-dominated uk government which used keynes to deflect charges of irresponsibility in undertaking such ambitious welfare programs (i.e. to convince the upper classes that taking away their money would ultimately make them wealthier, though it must be said that the english upper classes are world renowned for their credulousness)



Are you talking about the Atlee government and such? What were these arguments that they used to convince the upper classes that they would be enriched through higher taxes, i'm curious.

#609
only the obvious stuff like a stronger & healthier labour supply and a more efficiently perpetuated middle class would enable recovery, staving off communist revolution and keeping the ruling classes ruling, keeping britain great, etc. capital had nationality back in those days *sighs wistfully*
#610
its a shame dave cameron had to sacrifice his son to the electorate bc he would been a good candidate to become a fascist dictator in 40 years time
#611

cleanhands posted:
only the obvious stuff like a stronger & healthier labour supply and a more efficiently perpetuated middle class would enable recovery, staving off communist revolution and keeping the ruling classes ruling, keeping britain great, etc. capital had nationality back in those days *sighs wistfully*



Yeah, and I suppose back in those days you could also still appeal to a Victorian "morality" and responsibility of sorts.

cleanhands posted:
its a shame dave cameron had to sacrifice his son to the electorate bc he would been a good candidate to become a fascist dictator in 40 years time



Not a chance, he's way too puffy-faced and too much of a "real" establishment Tory. Thatcher was the protofascist and any future dictators are going to be cast in her mould, with a petit bourgeois pedigree and who truly understands the spite and resentments of middle england. Daily Mail land might vote for him but they know that deep down he's not one of them.

#612
cameron looks more like a jowly chinless 1950s toff every time i see him on tv
#613
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/31/targets-instuments-and-the-zero-bound-wonks-only/

#614
instuments
#615
the stuff with Bernanke is a coordinated propaganda thing btw

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-20/bernanke-returns-to-academic-roots-to-justify-fed-s-existence.html

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke returned to his roots as a university professor today, seeking to explain and justify the existence of the central bank ahead of the 100th anniversary of its founding next year.

Bernanke told 30 students at George Washington University that central banks play a key role in the modern monetary system as guardians of economic and financial stability.

His hour-long lecture, followed by questions from the students, is the first of four planned talks on the history of the Fed and is part of what public relations specialist Richard Dukas called a “P.R. offensive” to buff the central bank’s tarnished image. The Fed is being attacked from both the left and the right, with liberals criticizing it for not doing enough to bring down unemployment, and conservatives blaming it for doing too much and risking faster inflation.

Bernanke’s return to the milieu where he spent more than two decades will give the Fed’s top policy maker an opportunity to “set the narrative” on the central bank’s role during and after the financial meltdown, said Princeton University professor and former Fed Vice Chairman Alan Blinder. “The question of who gets to write the history is an important one.”

If Americans lose faith in the Fed’s ability to manage the economy and contain inflation, that will rob monetary policy of some of its potency, according to Dana Saporta, director of U.S. economics research for Credit Suisse Securities in New York. Policy has “less effect the less confidence the public has in the Fed,” she said.



ahahahahahaha god damn it's so bad

#616
[account deactivated]
#617
anyone have a handle on what this is about?
http://www.montrealgazette.com/business/accused+illegal+stock+futures+trades/6399125/story.html

A top U.S. regulator is accusing Royal Bank of Canada of engaging in hundreds of millions of dollars of illegal stock futures trades to gain Canadian tax credits.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) alleged Monday that RBC "wilfully concealed and made false statements" in what it called a "wash sales scheme" between 2007 and 2010, in which the bank traded futures contracts with its own subsidiaries under non-arm's-length terms.

...

The trades were basically "riskless" for the bank and were designed to enable RBC to realize "lucrative Canadian tax benefits" from holding certain securities in its Canadian and offshore trading accounts, according to the CFTC.



it seems pretty odd for the CFTC to be really concerned about the canadian gov'ts tax receipts all of a sudden

#618
probably relates to transfer pricing
#619
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/mar/16/greece-on-breadline-cashless-currency

“They’re quite joyous occasions,” she said. “It’s very liberating, not using money.” At one market, she said, she approached a woman who had come along with three large trays of homemade cakes and was selling them for a unit a cake. “I asked her: ‘Do you think that’s enough? After all, you had the cost of the ingredients, the electricity to cook …’

“She replied: ‘Wait until the market is over’, and at the end she had three different kinds of fruit, two one-litre bottles of olive oil, soaps, beans, a dozen eggs and a whole lot of yoghurt. ‘If I had bought all this at the supermarket,’ she said, ‘it would have cost me a great deal more than what it cost to make these cakes.’”

#620
remember when i got treated like i was nuts for suggesting this lmao






Edited by dm ()

#621
hey dm i posted those over on the deep. not sure if you read about this shit but lol

so im not sure if anyone's been following this lately, but there has been a very very rare debate taking place between steven keen and paul krugman over neoclassical economic theory. steve keen is the minskian non-neoclassical economist who wrote "debunking economics" and has been the thorn in the side of The Citadel for a long time. he only just recently got recognized in the press when krugman tried to critique a blog post in which keen criticized the fundamentals of DSGE neoclassical economics. what ensued was a series of back-and-forth posts in which keen owns the shit of krugman in some type of economists' version of a rap battle.

here are some highlights:

Q: What do John Maynard Keynes and Steve Keen have in common?
A: They’ve both been misread by Paul Krugman.

In just a couple of days I’ve gone from the privilege of being acknowledged by Krugman to being misread by him, in a way that would have any student failed in a multiple choice exam. In a passage where I specifically referred to DSGE models–which includes both “New Classicals” and “New Keynesians” he interpreted me as referring to New Keynesian models only.

And I said “underlying principles to the DSGE models”, which should have been enough of a clue that I was referring specifically to New Classical models, not New Keynesian ones.

The disparaging references to New Keynesian models came later, when I described them as being like Ptolemaic astronomers adding epicycles to an underlying model that couldn’t explain the retrograde motion of the planets.

Sigh.

Then having misread me, he concludes with “Nick uses a four-letter word to describe this; I can’t, because this is the Times”
Since I don’t work for The Times, I can and will use a four letter word to describe your poor comprehension here Paul:
Fail.




Why the brief discourse on Astronomy? Because reading what Paul Krugman is saying about banking feels like reading a Ptolemaic Astronomer describing sunrise today as if that’s actually what’s happening. He is dismissive of the view that banks can “create credit out of thin air”—so dismissive in fact, that anyone unacquainted with the empirical evidence might be fooled into believing that his case is so strongly supported by the facts that it’s not even worth the bother of citing the empirical data that backs it up.

That is so NOT the case: the empirical evidence overwhelmingly supports the case Krugman is trying to dismiss out of hand, that banks can and do “create credit out of thin air”, with the supposed regulatory controls over their capacity to do so being largely ineffective.



So Paul, not only did I distinguish between NC models and NK ones, I even mentioned you by name in that section as someone who has added imperfect competition, sticky prices and so on to that base NC model. And yet you implied that I was a moron who didn’t even know that NK models include imperfect competition, sticky prices and so on—and you wonder why you got a Fail?



i think everyone here knows how shitty paul krugman is but to see his dumb theories and arrogant attitude towards non-neoclassical economist who actually know more about neoclassical theory than kurgman himself is so god damn satisfying

here is the entire exchange from steve keen's perspective from start to finish (i refuse to link to anything that goes to the nyt):

http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/2012/03/21/my-paper-for-inets-berlin-2012-conference/

http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/2012/03/29/krugman-on-or-maybe-off-keen/

http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/2012/04/02/ptolemaic-economics-in-the-age-of-einstein/

http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/2012/04/03/oh-my-paul-krugman/

http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/2012/04/04/krugman-apologises/

not only is the ownage rife in these posts, keen is extremely good at explaining what is fundamentally wrong with neoclassical theory. reminder also that you should read debunking economics

that said, keen is also a really bad source for anything related to marxism and chapter 17 of debunking economics is really pitiful. im thinking about writing a critique of it at some point. hes basically regurgitating the old sraffian interpretation that kliman demolished

Edited by statickinetics ()

#622
ive never much from neo-classical types directly, so id like to ask if its really true that they dont include debt in any of their macro-economic models because they figure that for every debtor there is a creditor so its always even, or is that just heterodox hyperbole
#623
well it depends on who youre talking about. someone like krugman will of course factor in debt into his analysis but according to him it doesnt really matter, as the creation of debt is, according to them, limited by the physical money supply. these are models where banks actually dont exist as economic agents, they just facilitate the transfer of savings between agents and money is merely a lubricant of exchange. banks dont create money in these models either. keen of course says this is unrealstic and instead you need an endogenous theory of money creation as well as a minsky/fisher style appreceation of the effects of debt.

theres also the difference between what these guys write in academic journals + the policy recommendations they formulate, and what they say to the public
#624
all your links got messed up fyi
#625
then you can get into the whole CAPM models in finance and how time itself is just not a factor in any of these models and your eyes start to glaze over
#626

mistersix posted:


fixed

#627
as i said in another thread, it looks like a candidate calling for the nationalization of banks and energy companies in france (melenchon) might get something like 15% of the vote in coming presidential election.

what i find confusing though is what he might plan to do with it. like his hero mitterrand already tried this sort of thing in the early 1980s and very quickly mitterrand broke his pact with the communists because of the imperatives of capitalism were powerful despite widespread nationalizations.
#628
what i dont understand is how the french socialist party is still considered a legitimate leftist party. didnt DSK come from the same party? or maybe they dont consider them "leftist" in our sense of the word. i dont know shit about france. freedom fries.
#629

statickinetics posted:
what i dont understand is how the french socialist party is still considered a legitimate leftist party. didnt DSK come from the same party? or maybe they dont consider them "leftist" in our sense of the word. i dont know shit about france. freedom fries.

well they support wealth taxes, a shorter work week, more cooperatives, more social spending and so on. they are leftist in the broad sense, and probably one of the most left-wing major social-democratic parties in europe. yes DSK was PS. so was kouchner.

#630
good to know, thanks getfiscal. how soon are the elections? does melenchons party have a presence in other areas of government?
#631
well its more an electoral front. its mostly the communist party and the left party.
#632

statickinetics posted:
well it depends on who youre talking about. someone like krugman will of course factor in debt into his analysis but according to him it doesnt really matter, as the creation of debt is, according to them, limited by the physical money supply. these are models where banks actually dont exist as economic agents, they just facilitate the transfer of savings between agents and money is merely a lubricant of exchange. banks dont create money in these models either. keen of course says this is unrealstic and instead you need an endogenous theory of money creation as well as a minsky/fisher style appreceation of the effects of debt.

theres also the difference between what these guys write in academic journals + the policy recommendations they formulate, and what they say to the public



aha wonderful, thank you, so thats where all these people who treat seriously the idea that banks only provide liquidity and stabilize commodity prices through futures trading come from.

#633
melenchon is from the left party
#634

jools posted:
well its more an electoral front. its mostly the communist party and the left party.


oh i see

Tsargon posted:
aha wonderful, thank you, so thats where all these people who treat seriously the idea that banks only provide liquidity and stabilize commodity prices through futures trading come from.



yeah banks are supposed to be these neutral mediators not the parasitic wasps that they really are. really the most important consequence of this idea is that banks do not create money, or that banks are limited by deposits in terms of how much credit they can create. both ideas are patently false. the us hasnt had real reserve despoist ratio requirements for a long time (they only apply to household deposits, not corporate). and besides, every loan is also a deposit so you end up creating money and credit out of thin air while resupplying the reserve requirements if there are any

#635

statickinetics posted:
good to know, thanks getfiscal. how soon are the elections? does melenchons party have a presence in other areas of government?

the first round of the presidential election happens april 22nd. then a few weeks later there will be a run off, probably between the socialist hollande and sarkozy, which hollande will win if he doesn't completely fuck up.

melenchon is a former PS member that created a new party called the Left Party, which is in an alliance with the Communists. they have only a little support in the national assembly.

#636

statickinetics posted:
hey dm i posted those over on the deep. not sure if you read about this shit but lol



i don't read it, but i'm glad you're here now!

#637
and yes i saw that debate. Krugman made a huge mistake in addressing him directly. he knows better than that and has said as much before about other people.

Tsargon posted:
aha wonderful, thank you, so thats where all these people who treat seriously the idea that banks only provide liquidity and stabilize commodity prices through futures trading come from.



http://www.cfeps.org/pubs/wp-pdf/WP10-Wray.pdf

#638
1. thank you dm, im reading that As We Speak

2. bloomberg article about how spains recovery is being held back by (literally) fascist labor laws

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-17/spain-s-wilting-economy-still-held-in-franco-s-grip.html

austerity's officially worse than fascism yall
#639
argentina just nationalized their main oil company YPF. cue the circus:

European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso said he was "seriously disappointed" by Argentina's decision and warned that "this creates an uncertainty which is not helpful to our economic relations and to the economy as a whole."

...

Bank of America analysts Thomas Wong and Vitas Leung write:

"Although we think there is little immediate risk of Bridas being nationalized, it reflects the significant deterioration in the investment environment in Argentina, particularly in the oil sector. Argentine president Cristina Fernandez has nationalized pension funds and airlines since taking office in 2007."
...

of course buenos aires mayor and transational capitalist class brownnoser macri is against it

and this is important to note:

Spain is the largest foreign investor in Argentina, ahead of the United States. Spanish bank and telecommunications companies have a heavy presence in Argentina, where they have earned strong profits to offset deep losses in recent years at home due to the financial crisis.

Spain's Telefonica SA operates six companies in Argentina, where it is the leading telecom provider, with revenue last year of €3.17 billion, up from €3 billion in 2010, according to its annual report.

the indignados in spain are supportive:

El portavoz del movimiento de protesta que irrumpió en la escena política en 2011, que se opone a las políticas de ajuste impuestas por la Unión Europea y el FMI, Pablo Gómez, celebró la decisión y afirmó que "lo primero que puedo decir es ¡Bravo por el gobierno de Argentina!".

argentine minister defends the move, arguing that the company was responsible for a dramatic rise in imports and failing to properly invest in the country (like any parasitic multinational):

El ministro de Planificación e interventor de la petrolera, Julio De Vido, manifestó en la Cámara alta que el proyecto de expropiación de Repsol supone un avance hacia "la plena explotación, transporte e industrialización de los hidorcarburos para garantizar el desarrollo con inclusión social", y aseguró que "el déficit energético de Argentina se encuentra estrechamente asociado a la política desarrollada por el accionista Repsol", a la que acusó que implementar "un nivel de inversiones insuficiente". Además, sostuvo que "muchas empresas multinacionales" demostraron su interés en conversar con el Gobierno para invertir en el desarrollo y explotación de diferentes áreas junto con YPF.


i can only hope this signals the start of more nationalizations and more tears follow. its also extremely interesting as an indicator of who is on what side in latin america. peru, bolivia, venezuela and cuba were all in favor of the move. brazil was actually surprisingly disinterested. a key minister sort-of defended argentina's sovereign right to make these decisions, although in the abstract:

El ministro de Minas y Energía brasileño, Edison Lobao, descartó que existan preocupaciones para Petrobras por el tratamiento del proyecto de ley para expropiar el 51 por ciento de las acciones de la española Repsol en YPF y sostuvo que "cada país tiene su soberanía y tiene derecho a tomar sus decisiones como mejor lo entiendan, seguramente dentro de la legislación interna".
#640
“No one in their right mind would invest in a country that expropriates investments,” Calderon said today in Nuevo Vallarta, Mexico, according to a transcript of his remarks during the World Economic Forum on Latin America.

“This is absolutely a not very responsible measure,” Calderon said. “It is clearly in violation of treaties and accords about the reciprocity of investments.”